It’s expected British arable farmers will need to apply more nitrogen to crops this year, following an exceptionally wet winter across most of the UK.
According to AHDB, the extent of the ‘moderate’ and ‘high’ excess winter rainfall (EWR) zones is already much wider this year, compared with the long-term average.
Historically drier areas of the country – particularly the middle and eastern parts of England – are the most likely to experience downward shifts in soil nitrogen supply (SNS) indices.
To determine the precise impact on nitrogen management strategies, farmers should follow the guidance published in the recently revised AHDB Nutrient management guide (RB209).
Calculating EWR
EWR is the amount of rainfall the land receives after the soil profile becomes fully wetted in the autumn (field capacity) and before the end of drainage in the spring (around the end of March).
Ideally, the calculations also take account of water lost through any growing crop (i.e. via evapotranspiration) during this period.
Because nitrate is soluble, any water moving through a field takes nitrate out with it. As this affects soil nitrogen supply (SNS), an understanding of EWR is essential for accurate nutrient management planning.
To help farmers select the appropriate SNS look-up table in RB209, AHDB uses Met Office data to create EWR estimates, across 199 40km² UK regions, for the following categories:
- Low – less than 150mm EWR (annual rainfall less than 600mm);
- Moderate – 150-250mm EWR (annual rainfall between 600-700mm);
- High – over 250mm EWR (annual rainfall over 700mm).
Based on mid-season (October 1, 2019, to January 31, 2020) estimates, around 83% of cropped regions currently fall in the ‘high’ rainfall category.
Sajjad Awan, AHDB crop nutrition specialist, said: “This winter has been phenomenally wet.
Currently, only about 3% of cropped regions remain in the low-rainfall category. This is exceptional: Long-term average data would put the typical low-rainfall figure closer to 25%.
“As several weeks of the EWR period remain, it would not be a surprise if all low-EWR regions are washed off the UK map by the end of March.
“In fact, without the drying effects of crops, no regions would fall into the low category at all. With many farmers forced to leave land bare this winter, it is even more important to consider a lack of evapotranspiration.”
The current season is in stark contrast to the 2018/2019 winter, which was relatively dry and allowed some farmers to cut back on the total amount of nitrogen applied to crops.
The latest EWR maps can be found on the AHDB website. AHDB’s EWR estimates use Meteorological Office Rainfall and Evaporation Calculation System (MORECS) data.
Four maps are produced: one for bare soil; one for winter cereals; one for winter barley; and one for winter oilseed rape. EWR deviation from the long-term average (1981–2010) is also provided.
